Kamala abre vantagem no Arizona e põe Cinturão do Sol em jogo, confirma nova pesquisa Times/Siena
Pesquisa New York Times/Universidade Siena divulgada neste sábado mostra que a vice-presidente dos Estados Unidos, Kamala Harris, não só colocou em disputa os estados do Cinturão do Sol, localizados ao sul e oeste do país e marcados por rápido prolongamento econômico e de pluralidade étnica, uma vez que abriu vantagem para além do empate técnico no Arizona. Os outros são Carolina do Setentrião, em que ela aparece ligeiramente adiante do ex-presidente Donald Trump, Nevada e Geórgia, onde Trump, por sua vez, lidera por pouco. Os quatro endereços apareciam, nas enquetes anteriores do NYT/Siena, com vantagem maior — de quase dois dígitos — do republicano sobre o presidente Joe Biden.
A novidade pesquisa registra a rapidez com que Kamala remodelou o tabuleiro político de 2024 e empurrou o Cinturão do Sol de volta ao núcleo do planta dos estados decisivos.
A vice lidera Trump no Arizona por 50% a 45%, e até mesmo ultrapassou o ex-presidente na mais conservadora Carolina do Setentrião, ao mesmo tempo em que encostou no rival na Geórgia e em Nevada.
Leia também: Convenção democrata: o que esperar do evento que começa segunda?
Na novidade pesquisa, Trump está adiante na Geórgia, 50% a 46%, e em Nevada, tem 48% a 47% de Harris. Mas ela o ultrapassou na Carolina do Setentrião, 49% a 47%, o único dos sete estados decisivos que ele venceu em 2020, por margem estreita.
Na média dos quatro estados do Cinturão do Sol, que, juntos, têm 49 preciosos delegados no Escola Eleitoral, Trump e Harris estão empatados em 48% na pesquisa, feita a partir de entrevistas realizadas entre 8 e 15 de agosto.
Nascente novo quadro é um problema para a campanha republicana, que terá de virar fundos para uma região que, até a ingresso de Kamala, parecia menos disputada do que os três estados decisivos da Muramento Azul — Wisconsin, Pensilvânia e Michigan.
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Nascida em 20 de outubro de 1964, em Oakland, Califórnia, Kamala é filha de imigrantes.
(US-POLITICS-VOTE-BIDEN-HARRIS)![Sua mãe, Shyamala Gopalan, é uma pesquisadora indiana. Seu pai, um economista jamaicano.]( "Sua mãe, Shyamala Gopalan, é uma pesquisadora indiana. Seu pai, um economista jamaicano.")
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Sua mãe, Shyamala Gopalan, é uma pesquisadora indiana. Seu pai, um economista jamaicano.
(FILES-US-POLITICS-VOTE-BIDEN-HARRIS)![Formou-se em Ciências Políticas e Economia pela Universidade Howard, uma das mais prestigiadas universidades historicamente negras dos EUA.]( "Formou-se em Ciências Políticas e Economia pela Universidade Howard, uma das mais prestigiadas universidades historicamente negras dos EUA.")
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Formou-se em Ciências Políticas e Economia pela Universidade Howard, uma das mais prestigiadas universidades historicamente negras dos EUA.
(FILES-US-POLITICS-VOTE-BIDEN-HARRIS)![Depois obteve seu diploma de Direito pela Universidade da Califórnia, Hastings.]( "Depois obteve seu diploma de Direito pela Universidade da Califórnia, Hastings.")
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Depois obteve seu diploma de Recta pela Universidade da Califórnia, Hastings.
(FILES-US-POLITICS-VOTE-BIDEN-HARRIS)![Sua carreira começou em 1990, quando se tornou promotora no condado de Alameda, na Califórnia.]( "Sua carreira começou em 1990, quando se tornou promotora no condado de Alameda, na Califórnia.")
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Sua curso começou em 1990, quando se tornou promotora no condado de Parque, na Califórnia.
(FILES-US-POLITICS-VOTE-BIDEN-HARRIS)![Em 2003, ela foi eleita procuradora-distrital de São Francisco.]( "Em 2003, ela foi eleita procuradora-distrital de São Francisco.")
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Em 2003, ela foi eleita procuradora-distrital de São Francisco.
(Kamala Harris, vice-presidente dos EUA, durante evento em junho de 2021)![Poucos anos mais tarde, em 2010, foi eleita procuradora-geral da Califórnia.]( "Poucos anos mais tarde, em 2010, foi eleita procuradora-geral da Califórnia.")
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Poucos anos mais tarde, em 2010, foi eleita procuradora-geral da Califórnia.
(FILES-US-POLITICS-VOTE-BIDEN-HARRIS)![A carreira política despontou a partir de 2017, como estrela em ascensão do Partido Democrata após ser eleita senadora na Califórnia.]( "A carreira política despontou a partir de 2017, como estrela em ascensão do Partido Democrata após ser eleita senadora na Califórnia.")
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A curso política despontou a partir de 2017, uma vez que estrela em subida do Partido Democrata depois ser eleita senadora na Califórnia.
(FILES-US-POLITICS-VOTE-BIDEN-HARRIS)![Quase imediatamente, ela fez seu nome em Washington com seu estilo incisivo em audiências no Senado.]( "Quase imediatamente, ela fez seu nome em Washington com seu estilo incisivo em audiências no Senado.")
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Quase imediatamente, ela fez seu nome em Washington com seu estilo incisivo em audiências no Senado.
(FILES-US-POLITICS-VOTE-BIDEN-HARRIS)![Com boa performance em debates, inclusive contra o próprio Biden, Harris ganhou destaque entre progressistas.]( "Com boa performance em debates, inclusive contra o próprio Biden, Harris ganhou destaque entre progressistas.")
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Com boa performance em debates, inclusive contra o próprio Biden, Harris ganhou destaque entre progressistas.
(FILES-US-POLITICS-VOTE-BIDEN-HARRIS)![Quando Biden foi escolhido, ele iniciou o processo de seleção de um companheiro de chapa, com um foco explícito em escolher uma mulher, preferencialmente negra, para refletir a diversidade do partido e do país.]( "Quando Biden foi escolhido, ele iniciou o processo de seleção de um companheiro de chapa, com um foco explícito em escolher uma mulher, preferencialmente negra, para refletir a diversidade do partido e do país.")
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Quando Biden foi escolhido, ele iniciou o processo de seleção de um companheiro de placa, com um foco explícito em escolher uma mulher, preferencialmente negra, para refletir a pluralidade do partido e do país.
(A vice-presidente dos EUA, Kamala Harris, realiza uma reunião com legisladoras estaduais latinas para discutir o fortalecimento e a proteção dos direitos reprodutivos em seus estados em Washington em 2022)![Harris estava entre os principais nomes considerados, junto com outras figuras de destaque do partido, como Elizabeth Warren e Stacey Abrams.]( "Harris estava entre os principais nomes considerados, junto com outras figuras de destaque do partido, como Elizabeth Warren e Stacey Abrams.")
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Harris estava entre os principais nomes considerados, junto com outras figuras de destaque do partido, uma vez que Elizabeth Warren e Stacey Abrams.
(FILES-US-POLITICS-VOTE-BIDEN-HARRIS)![Enfim, em agosto de 2020, Biden a escolheu como sua companheira de chapa, numa decisão histórica e simbólica.]( "Enfim, em agosto de 2020, Biden a escolheu como sua companheira de chapa, numa decisão histórica e simbólica.")
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Enfim, em agosto de 2020, Biden a escolheu uma vez que sua companheira de placa, numa decisão histórica e simbólica.
(FILES-US-POLITICS-VOTE-BIDEN-HARRIS)![]()
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Sobre o invitação, Harris afirmou que estava “incrivelmente honrada e pronta para trabalhar”.
(FILES-US-POLITICS-VOTE-BIDEN-HARRIS)
Kamala consolidou base democrata
A novidade pesquisa representa melhoria significativa para os democratas em confrontação à enquete nos estados em maio, quando Trump liderava Biden por 50% a 41% no Arizona, Geórgia e Nevada.
E fornecem mais evidências de que Kamala está consolidando com sucesso parcela substantiva da base democrata que há meses hesitava em estribar Biden, principalmente eleitores mais jovens, não-brancos e mulheres.
Na semana passada, outra pesquisa Times/Siena mostrou que Harris havia ultrapassado Trump por margem estreita nos três estados decisivos da Muramento Azul: Michigan, Pensilvânia e Wisconsin.
Estas unidades da federação americana são o eixo do caminho democrata provável para a Morada Branca.
Cinturão do Sol
O Cinturão do Sol representa um conjunto importante de estados, por sua vez, para Trump, e, ao mesmo tempo, agora oferece um segundo caminho potencial para Kamala confirmar aos 270 votos do Escola Eleitoral necessários para vencer o pleito.
![Former US President and 2024 Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump arrives onstage to accept his party's nomination on the last day of the 2024 Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, on July 18, 2024. Days after he survived an assassination attempt Trump won formal nomination as the Republican presidential candidate and picked Ohio US Senator J.D. Vance for running mate. (Photo by Andrew CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP)]( "Former US President and 2024 Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump arrives onstage to accept his party's nomination on the last day of the 2024 Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, on July 18, 2024. Days after he survived an assassination attempt Trump won formal nomination as the Republican presidential candidate and picked Ohio US Senator J.D. Vance for running mate. (Photo by Andrew CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP)")
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Former US President and 2024 Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump arrives onstage to accept his party’s nomination on the last day of the 2024 Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, on July 18, 2024. Days after he survived an assassination attempt Trump won formal nomination as the Republican presidential candidate and picked Ohio US Senator J.D. Vance for running mate. (Photo by Andrew CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP)
(Day 4 – Republican Party presidential nominating convention)![Donald Trump, durante a Convenção Nacional Republicana, em Milwaukee]( "Donald Trump, durante a Convenção Nacional Republicana, em Milwaukee")
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Donald Trump, durante a Convenção Vernáculo Republicana, em Milwaukee
(Day 4 – Republican Party presidential nominating convention)![An overall view as former US President and 2024 Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump accepts his party's nomination on the last day of the 2024 Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, on July 18, 2024. Days after he survived an assassination attempt Trump won formal nomination as the Republican presidential candidate and picked Ohio US Senator J.D. Vance for running mate. (Photo by Pedro UGARTE / AFP)]( "An overall view as former US President and 2024 Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump accepts his party's nomination on the last day of the 2024 Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, on July 18, 2024. Days after he survived an assassination attempt Trump won formal nomination as the Republican presidential candidate and picked Ohio US Senator J.D. Vance for running mate. (Photo by Pedro UGARTE / AFP)")
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An overall view as former US President and 2024 Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump accepts his party’s nomination on the last day of the 2024 Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, on July 18, 2024. Days after he survived an assassination attempt Trump won formal nomination as the Republican presidential candidate and picked Ohio US Senator J.D. Vance for running mate. (Photo by Pedro UGARTE / AFP)
(Day 4 – Republican Party presidential nominating convention)![MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump embraces the firefighter uniform of Corey Comperatore as he speaks on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by CHIP SOMODEVILLA / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)]( "MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump embraces the firefighter uniform of Corey Comperatore as he speaks on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by CHIP SOMODEVILLA / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)")
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MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN – JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump embraces the firefighter uniform of Corey Comperatore as he speaks on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party’s presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by CHIP SOMODEVILLA / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)
(2024 Republican National Convention: Day 4)![MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks next to the firefighter uniform of Corey Comperatore after officially accepting the Republican presidential nomination on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by CHIP SOMODEVILLA / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)]( "MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks next to the firefighter uniform of Corey Comperatore after officially accepting the Republican presidential nomination on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by CHIP SOMODEVILLA / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)")
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MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN – JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks next to the firefighter uniform of Corey Comperatore after officially accepting the Republican presidential nomination on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party’s presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by CHIP SOMODEVILLA / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)
(2024 Republican National Convention: Day 4)![MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks after officially accepting the Republican presidential nomination on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by CHIP SOMODEVILLA / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)]( "MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks after officially accepting the Republican presidential nomination on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by CHIP SOMODEVILLA / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)")
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MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN – JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks after officially accepting the Republican presidential nomination on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party’s presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by CHIP SOMODEVILLA / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)
(2024 Republican National Convention: Day 4)![MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks after officially accepting the Republican presidential nomination on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by WIN MCNAMEE / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)]( "MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks after officially accepting the Republican presidential nomination on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by WIN MCNAMEE / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)")
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MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN – JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks after officially accepting the Republican presidential nomination on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party’s presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by WIN MCNAMEE / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)
(2024 Republican National Convention: Day 4)![MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump walks on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by WIN MCNAMEE / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)]( "MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump walks on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by WIN MCNAMEE / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)")
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MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN – JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump walks on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party’s presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by WIN MCNAMEE / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)
(2024 Republican National Convention: Day 4)![MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump walks on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by WIN MCNAMEE / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)]( "MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump walks on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by WIN MCNAMEE / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)")
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MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN – JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump walks on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party’s presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by WIN MCNAMEE / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)
(2024 Republican National Convention: Day 4)![MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump walks on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by WIN MCNAMEE / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)]( "MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump walks on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by WIN MCNAMEE / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)")
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MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN – JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump walks on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party’s presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by WIN MCNAMEE / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)
(2024 Republican National Convention: Day 4)![MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump walks on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by WIN MCNAMEE / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)]( "MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump walks on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by WIN MCNAMEE / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)")
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MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN – JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump walks on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party’s presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Win McNamee/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by WIN MCNAMEE / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)
(2024 Republican National Convention: Day 4)![MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks after officially accepting the Republican presidential nomination on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Andrew Harnik/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by Andrew Harnik / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)]( "MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks after officially accepting the Republican presidential nomination on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party's presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Andrew Harnik/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by Andrew Harnik / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)")
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MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN – JULY 18: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks after officially accepting the Republican presidential nomination on stage on the fourth day of the Republican National Convention at the Fiserv Forum on July 18, 2024 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Delegates, politicians, and the Republican faithful are in Milwaukee for the annual convention, concluding with former President Donald Trump accepting his party’s presidential nomination. The RNC takes place from July 15-18. Andrew Harnik/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by Andrew Harnik / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)
(2024 Republican National Convention: Day 4)![O candidato republicano à presidência, o ex-presidente dos EUA Donald Trump, fala após aceitar oficialmente a nomeação presidencial republicana no palco no quarto dia da Convenção Nacional Republicana no Fiserv Forum em 18 de julho de 2024, em Milwaukee, Wisconsin.]( "O candidato republicano à presidência, o ex-presidente dos EUA Donald Trump, fala após aceitar oficialmente a nomeação presidencial republicana no palco no quarto dia da Convenção Nacional Republicana no Fiserv Forum em 18 de julho de 2024, em Milwaukee, Wisconsin.")
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O candidato republicano à presidência, o ex-presidente dos EUA Donald Trump, fala depois concordar oficialmente a nomeação presidencial republicana no palco no quarto dia da Convenção Vernáculo Republicana no Fiserv Forum em 18 de julho de 2024, em Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
(2024 Republican National Convention: Day 4)
Pesquisas recentes também revelam, no entanto, um risco para Harris enquanto ela mobiliza os democratas. Eleitores já registrados a consideram muito liberal (43%) contra 33% que afirmam Trump ser muito conservador (33%). Por outro lado, ela está adiante do rival entre os eleitores independentes.
Os novos números foram divulgados depois período de dois dos meses mais tumultuados da história política americana moderna.
Os democratas trocaram Harris por Biden depois o fraco desempenho do presidente no debate e, de lá para cá, Trump sobreviveu a uma tentativa de homicídio e fez uma aparição dramática na Covenção Vernáculo Republicana, em Milwaukee, mês pretérito.
Os dois partidos veem o período atual uma vez que um potencial ponto de inflexão e estão investindo dezenas de milhões de dólares em publicidade nos agora sete estados decisivos para moldar as percepções dos eleitores.
Os democratas também se preparam para a Convenção Vernáculo partido, que começa nesta segunda-feira em Chicago.
